$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch? Odds
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
last 24h
Probability over time
Odds by deadline
| Outcome | Resolves by | Probability | American |
|---|---|---|---|
| $10M | December 31, 2026 | >99% | -66567 |
| $25M | December 31, 2026 | >99% | -22122 |
| $50M | December 31, 2026 | >99% | -15285 |
| $100M | December 31, 2026 | 98% | -4155 |
| $250M | December 31, 2026 | 96% | -2339 |
| $500M | December 31, 2026 | 83% | -471 |
| $1B | December 31, 2026 | 25% | +308 |
| $3B | December 31, 2026 | 2% | +4344 |
| $1.5B | December 31, 2026 | 9% | +1076 |
| $2B | December 31, 2026 | 3% | +2930 |
| $4B | December 31, 2026 | 2% | +5305 |
| $5B | December 31, 2026 | 1% | +8596 |
| $350M | December 31, 2026 | 93% | -1233 |
| $750M | December 31, 2026 | 55% | -122 |
- Implied
- 24.5%
- American
- +308
- Decimal
- 4.08
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the LAPTOP token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If the LAPTOP token has not launched by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 25% — roughly +308 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the LAPTOP token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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