GeoOdds

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner Odds

$182K total volume$74 24hResolves by October 3, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
57%implied chance
-0.1pp24h

AS

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    AS57%
  2. 2
    LPV20%
  3. 3
    SV17%
  4. 4
    PRO6%
  5. 5
    JV2%
  6. 6
    NA2%
  7. ·
    Others (30 outcomes)<1%
Implied
57%
American
-133
Decimal
1.75
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 57% — roughly -133 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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