Los Angeles Mayoral Election Odds
Nithya Raman
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Nithya Raman54%
- 2Karen Bass47%
- 3Other—
- 4Candidate H—
- 5Candidate I—
- 6Candidate J—
- Implied
- 53.6%
- American
- -115
- Decimal
- 1.87
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 54% — roughly -115 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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