GeoOdds

Los Angeles Mayoral Election Odds

$13.3M total volume$73K 24hResolves by December 31, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
61%implied chance
-4.0pp24h

Karen Bass

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Karen Bass61%
  2. 2
    Nithya Raman38%
  3. 3
    Other—
  4. 4
    Candidate H—
  5. 5
    Candidate J—
  6. 6
    Candidate I—
Implied
60.5%
American
-153
Decimal
1.65
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 61% — roughly -153 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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