GeoOdds

Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner Odds

$116K total volume$2K 24hResolves by August 11, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
>99%implied chance
+0.6pp24h

Michele Tafoya

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Michele Tafoya>99%
  2. 2
    Adam Schwarze<1%
  3. 3
    Royce White<1%
  4. 4
    Julia Coleman<1%
  5. 5
    Tom Weiler<1%
  6. 6
    Mike Ruoho<1%
  7. ·
    Others (13 outcomes)<1%
Implied
99.6%
American
-22122
Decimal
1.00
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at >99% — roughly -22122 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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