Next Premier of Quebec Odds
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Paul St-Pierre Plamondon93%
- 2Christine Fréchette3%
- 3Charles Milliard2%
- 4Bernard Drainville<1%
- 5Ruba Ghazal<1%
- 6Éric Duhaime<1%
- ·Others (23 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 93%
- American
- -1329
- Decimal
- 1.08
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Next Premier of Quebec?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 93% — roughly -1329 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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