Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Odds
Abiy Ahmed
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Abiy Ahmed94%
- 2Gedion Timothewos2%
- 3Berhanu Nega<1%
- 4Alesa Mengesha<1%
- 5Adanech Abiebie<1%
- 6Demeke Mekonnen<1%
- ·Others (27 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 94.3%
- American
- -1654
- Decimal
- 1.06
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 94% — roughly -1654 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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