Next Prime Minister of Italy? Odds
Giorgia Meloni
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Giorgia Meloni49%
- 2Giuseppe Conte24%
- 3Elly Schlein19%
- 4Roberto Vannacci4%
- 5Silvia Salis4%
- 6Matteo Salvini<1%
- ·Others (54 outcomes)2%
- Implied
- 48.5%
- American
- +106
- Decimal
- 2.06
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 49% — roughly +106 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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