GeoOdds

Next Prime Minister of Serbia? Odds

$150K total volume$47K 24hResolves by June 30, 2028Polymarket, 10-min refresh
55%implied chance
-6.5pp24h

Aleksandar Vučić

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Aleksandar Vučić55%
  2. 2
    Person C50%
  3. 3
    Person D50%
  4. 4
    Person E50%
  5. 5
    Person F50%
  6. 6
    Person G50%
  7. ·
    Others (47 outcomes)>99%
Implied
54.7%
American
-121
Decimal
1.83
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 55% — roughly -121 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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