Next Prime Minister of Spain? Odds
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Alberto Núñez Feijóo80%
- 2Person AH50%
- 3Person AM50%
- 4Person AR50%
- 5Person D50%
- 6Person I50%
- ·Others (52 outcomes)>99%
- Implied
- 79.5%
- American
- -388
- Decimal
- 1.26
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 80% — roughly -388 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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