GeoOdds

Next Prime Minister of Sweden Odds

$3.4M total volume$4K 24hResolves by September 13, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
89%implied chance
+0.5pp24h

Magdalena Andersson

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Magdalena Andersson89%
  2. 2
    Ulf Kristersson10%
  3. 3
    Jimmie Åkesson2%
  4. 4
    Ebba Busch<1%
  5. 5
    Nooshi Dadgostar<1%
  6. 6
    Anna-Karin Hatt<1%
  7. ·
    Others (30 outcomes)<1%
Implied
88.5%
American
-770
Decimal
1.13
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 89% — roughly -770 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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