Next Senate Majority Leader? Odds
John Thune
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1John Thune45%
- 2Chuck Schumer32%
- 3Brian Schatz5%
- 4Tom Cotton3%
- 5John Barrasso2%
- 6Steve Daines1%
- ·Others (57 outcomes)1%
- Implied
- 44.5%
- American
- +125
- Decimal
- 2.25
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Next Senate Majority Leader?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 45% — roughly +125 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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