Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Odds
Andy Burnham
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Andy Burnham64%
- 2No Next PM in 202618%
- 3Wes Streeting3%
- 4Angela Rayner3%
- 5Al Carns2%
- 6Ed Miliband2%
- ·Others (55 outcomes)7%
- Implied
- 64.5%
- American
- -181
- Decimal
- 1.55
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 64% — roughly -181 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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