GeoOdds

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner Odds

$852K total volume— 24hResolves by June 23, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
>99%implied chance

Micah Lasher

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Micah Lasher>99%
  2. 2
    Jack Schlossberg<1%
  3. 3
    Alex Bores<1%
  4. 4
    Erik Bottcher<1%
  5. 5
    Carolyn Maloney<1%
  6. 6
    Andrew Cuomo<1%
  7. ·
    Others (33 outcomes)<1%
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at >99%. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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