GeoOdds

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary? Odds

$282K total volume 24hResolves by June 2, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
>99%implied chance

Dem-Rep

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Dem-Rep>99%
  2. 2
    Dem-Dem<1%
  3. 3
    Rep-Rep<1%
  4. 4
    Other<1%
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Polymarket traders currently price this at >99%. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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