GeoOdds

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania? Odds

$185K total volume$484 24hResolves by December 31, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
55%implied chance
+5.0pp24h

Independent/Technocrat

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Independent/Technocrat55%
  2. 2
    PNL22%
  3. 3
    PSD14%
  4. 4
    AUR3%
  5. 5
    UDMR<1%
  6. 6
    USR<1%
  7. ·
    Others (7 outcomes)<1%
Implied
54.5%
American
-120
Decimal
1.83
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve to the political party of the next officially appointed and confirmed Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the Prime Minister must be both formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the prime minister comes from inside parliament, the party of the Prime Minister will be determined based on their formal party affiliation at the time they become Prime Minister. If the Prime Minister comes from outside parliament, their party will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting on which party they represent, hold membership in, or are formally affiliated with. If no clear affiliation exists, this market will resolve to “Independent/Technocrat”. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 55% — roughly -120 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve to the political party of the next officially appointed and confirmed Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the Prime Minister must be both formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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