Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...? Odds
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
last 24h
Probability over time
Odds by deadline
| Outcome | Resolves by | Probability | American |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | January 1, 2027 | 11% | +809 |
| January 15, 2027 | January 16, 2027 | 41% | +147 |
| January 31, 2027 | February 1, 2027 | 88% | -733 |
- Implied
- 11%
- American
- +809
- Decimal
- 9.09
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 11% — roughly +809 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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