GeoOdds

Quebec General Election Winner Odds

$567K total volume$1K 24hResolves by October 5, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
54%implied chance
+0.5pp24h

PQ

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    PQ54%
  2. 2
    PLQ26%
  3. 3
    CAQ19%
  4. 4
    PCQ<1%
  5. 5
    QS<1%
  6. 6
    PVQ<1%
  7. ·
    Others (27 outcomes)<1%
Implied
54%
American
-117
Decimal
1.85
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Quebec General Election Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 54% — roughly -117 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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