GeoOdds

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner Odds

$877K total volume$2K 24hResolves by September 6, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
98%implied chance
-0.4pp24h

AfD

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    AfD98%
  2. 2
    CDU1%
  3. 3
    The Left<1%
  4. 4
    BSW<1%
  5. 5
    FDP<1%
  6. 6
    SPD<1%
  7. ·
    Others (28 outcomes)<1%
Implied
98.1%
American
-5163
Decimal
1.02
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 98% — roughly -5163 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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