GeoOdds

Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout Odds

$261K total volume$186K 24hResolves by October 25, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
93%implied chance
+69.1pp24h

66-70%

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    66-70%93%
  2. 2
    70%+7%
  3. 3
    <58%<1%
  4. 4
    58-62%<1%
  5. 5
    62-66%<1%
Implied
92.6%
American
-1251
Decimal
1.08
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (Republička izborna komisija, https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 93% — roughly -1251 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf).

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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