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Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner Odds

$156K total volume$13K 24hResolves by October 25, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
66%implied chance
-3.5pp24h

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia66%
  2. 2
    List A50%
  3. 3
    List B50%
  4. 4
    List C50%
  5. 5
    List D50%
  6. 6
    List E50%
  7. ·
    Others (31 outcomes)>99%
Implied
65.5%
American
-190
Decimal
1.53
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 66% — roughly -190 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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