GeoOdds

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner Odds

$305K total volume$88K 24hResolves by August 11, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
61%implied chance
0.0pp24h

Darline Graham Nordone

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Darline Graham Nordone61%
  2. 2
    Candidate A50%
  3. 3
    Candidate B50%
  4. 4
    Candidate C50%
  5. 5
    Candidate D50%
  6. 6
    Candidate E50%
  7. ·
    Others (15 outcomes)>99%
Implied
60.5%
American
-153
Decimal
1.65
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 61% — roughly -153 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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