Speaker of the House after the midterms? Odds
Hakeem Jeffries
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Hakeem Jeffries97%
- 2Katherine Clark1%
- 3Pete Aguilar1%
- 4Jim Jordan<1%
- 5Steve Scalise<1%
- 6Mike Johnson<1%
- ·Others (22 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 97.5%
- American
- -3822
- Decimal
- 1.03
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 97% — roughly -3822 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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