Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner Odds
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)91%
- 2Moderate Party (M)4%
- 3Sweden Democrats (SD)3%
- 4Christian Democrats (KD)<1%
- 5Citizens' Coalition (MED)<1%
- 6Left Party (V)<1%
- ·Others (30 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 90.5%
- American
- -953
- Decimal
- 1.10
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 91% — roughly -953 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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