Toronto Mayoral Election Winner Odds
Olivia Chow
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Olivia Chow84%
- 2Brad Bradford13%
- 3Marco Mendicino1%
- 4Anthony Furey<1%
- 5Kevin Clarke<1%
- 6Ana Bailão<1%
- ·Others (30 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 83.5%
- American
- -506
- Decimal
- 1.20
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Toronto Mayoral Election Winner?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 84% — roughly -506 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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