Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Odds
1.2–1.5M
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 11.2–1.5M97%
- 21.8–2.1M2%
- 32.1–2.4M2%
- 42.4–2.7M1%
- 50.9–1.2M<1%
- 61.5–1.8M<1%
- ·Others (3 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 97.1%
- American
- -3290
- Decimal
- 1.03
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 97% — roughly -3290 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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