GeoOdds

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner Odds

$212K total volume$1K 24hResolves by October 18, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
64%implied chance
+0.2pp24h

Pete Fry

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Pete Fry64%
  2. 2
    Ken Sim31%
  3. 3
    Kareem Allam5%
  4. 4
    John Coupar1%
  5. 5
    Colleen Hardwick1%
  6. 6
    Fred Harding<1%
  7. ·
    Others (33 outcomes)3%
Implied
63.5%
American
-174
Decimal
1.57
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 64% — roughly -174 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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