GeoOdds

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner Odds

$2.4M total volume$136 24hResolves by June 16, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
78%implied chance
0.0pp24h

Bert Mizusawa

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Bert Mizusawa78%
  2. 2
    Kim Farington16%
  3. 3
    David Williams3%
  4. 4
    Chuck Smith2%
  5. 5
    Al Mina1%
  6. 6
    Alex De Paula<1%
  7. ·
    Others (12 outcomes)<1%
Implied
77.5%
American
-344
Decimal
1.29
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 78% — roughly -344 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

Trade this on Polymarket →

Fee-free geopolitics markets. 18+.