GeoOdds

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026? Odds

$476K total volume$885 24hResolves by December 31, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
3%implied chance
0.0pp24h

Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?

last 24h

Probability over time

Odds by deadline

OutcomeResolves byProbabilityAmerican
SyriaDecember 31, 202614%+614
United KingdomDecember 31, 202650%+100
IsraelDecember 31, 202632%+213
CanadaDecember 31, 202628%+251
MexicoDecember 31, 202618%+471
Saudi ArabiaDecember 31, 202635%+190
JapanDecember 31, 202631%+228
GermanyDecember 31, 202653%-113
South KoreaDecember 31, 202648%+108
FranceDecember 31, 202698%-5163
RussiaDecember 31, 202620%+400
UkraineDecember 31, 202616%+525
TaiwanDecember 31, 20263%+3290
ItalyDecember 31, 202632%+217
OmanDecember 31, 202613%+700
IndiaDecember 31, 202628%+264
BelarusDecember 31, 202610%+953
TurkeyDecember 31, 202692%-1150
North KoreaDecember 31, 202616%+545
IrelandDecember 31, 202636%+182
PakistanDecember 31, 202623%+335
LebanonDecember 31, 20268%+1174
Implied
2.9%
American
+3290
Decimal
33.90
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 3% — roughly +3290 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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