Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026? Odds
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?
last 24h
Probability over time
Odds by deadline
| Outcome | Resolves by | Probability | American |
|---|---|---|---|
| Syria | January 1, 2027 | 7% | +1438 |
| Israel | January 1, 2027 | 10% | +953 |
| Canada | January 1, 2027 | 9% | +1011 |
| Mexico | January 1, 2027 | 7% | +1329 |
| Saudi Arabia | January 1, 2027 | 20% | +400 |
| Japan | January 1, 2027 | 17% | +488 |
| Germany | January 1, 2027 | 20% | +413 |
| South Korea | January 1, 2027 | 23% | +344 |
| Russia | January 1, 2027 | 9% | +1036 |
| Ukraine | January 1, 2027 | 8% | +1233 |
| Taiwan | January 1, 2027 | 3% | +2977 |
| Italy | January 1, 2027 | 9% | +1076 |
| Oman | January 1, 2027 | 12% | +733 |
| India | January 1, 2027 | 7% | +1438 |
| Belarus | January 1, 2027 | 6% | +1567 |
| North Korea | January 1, 2027 | 10% | +900 |
| Ireland | January 1, 2027 | 99% | -7592 |
| Pakistan | January 1, 2027 | 5% | +2122 |
| Lebanon | January 1, 2027 | 4% | +2532 |
| Venezuela | January 1, 2027 | 8% | +1233 |
| Portugal | January 1, 2027 | 11% | +852 |
- Implied
- 3.3%
- American
- +2977
- Decimal
- 30.77
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 3% — roughly +2977 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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