GeoOdds

Which party will win white women in the midterms? Odds

$53K total volume$2K 24hResolves by November 6, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
>99%implied chance
+5.2pp24h

Democrats

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Democrats>99%
  2. 2
    Candidate A50%
  3. 3
    Candidate B50%
  4. 4
    Candidate C50%
  5. 5
    Other50%
  6. 6
    Republicans<1%
Implied
99.6%
American
-24900
Decimal
1.00
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Which party will win white women in the midterms?

Polymarket traders currently price this at >99% — roughly -24900 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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