Who visited Epstein's Island? Odds
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
last 24h
Probability over time
Odds by deadline
| Outcome | Resolves by | Probability | American |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Rubio | June 30, 2026 | <1% | +28471 |
| Donald Trump | June 30, 2026 | 1% | +6797 |
| Hillary Clinton | June 30, 2026 | <1% | +19900 |
| Bill Gates | June 30, 2026 | 2% | +4445 |
| Steve Bannon | June 30, 2026 | 3% | +3822 |
| Steven Tisch | June 30, 2026 | <1% | +10426 |
| Noam Chomsky | June 30, 2026 | 2% | +5456 |
| Bill Cosby | June 30, 2026 | 1% | +7307 |
| Jay-Z | June 30, 2026 | <1% | +10426 |
| Elon Musk | June 30, 2026 | <1% | +14186 |
| Bill Clinton | June 30, 2026 | 2% | +6352 |
| Kevin Spacey | June 30, 2026 | 2% | +6567 |
| Woody Allen | June 30, 2026 | 1% | +8991 |
| Peter Attia | June 30, 2026 | <1% | +13233 |
| Deepak Chopra | June 30, 2026 | 1% | +8991 |
| Michael Jackson | June 30, 2026 | 2% | +6352 |
| Harvey Weinstein | June 30, 2026 | 2% | +6567 |
- Implied
- 1%
- American
- +10426
- Decimal
- 105.26
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Who visited Epstein's Island?
Polymarket traders currently price this at <1% — roughly +10426 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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