Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary? Odds
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Probability over time
Odds by deadline
| Outcome | Resolves by | Probability | American |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lesil McGuire | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Gregg Brelsford | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Jessica Faircloth | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Destry J. Payne Sr. | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Bill Walker | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Click Bishop | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Dave Bronson | August 18, 2026 | >99% | — |
| Adam Crum | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Nancy Dahlstrom | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Edna DeVries | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Matt Heilala | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Shelley Hughes | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Hank Kroll | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| James Parkin | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Treg Taylor | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Bernadette Wilson | August 18, 2026 | >99% | — |
| Tom Begich | August 18, 2026 | >99% | — |
| Matt Claman | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Bruce Walden | August 18, 2026 | <1% | — |
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | August 18, 2026 | >99% | — |
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Polymarket traders currently price this at <1%. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
New to prediction markets?
New traders get a $20 bonus
Deposit $10 on Polymarket and get a $20 trading bonus to put behind your first call.
Trade this on Polymarket →New Polymarket users only. Bonus is trading credit, expires 30 days after it lands, and terms are set by Polymarket — check the current offer at signup. 18+. Fee-free markets. GeoOdds earns a commission on signups through this link.