GeoOdds

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary? Odds

$227K total volume$458 24hResolves by August 18, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
11%implied chance
-1.5pp24h

Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

last 24h

Probability over time

Odds by deadline

OutcomeResolves byProbabilityAmerican
Dave BronsonAugust 18, 202642%+138
Nancy DahlstromAugust 18, 20261%+9424
Matt HeilalaAugust 18, 20264%+2400
Hank KrollAugust 18, 20261%+6797
Treg TaylorAugust 18, 202611%+809
Tom BegichAugust 18, 202695%-2051
Click BishopAugust 18, 202640%+153
Adam CrumAugust 18, 20265%+1900
Edna DeVriesAugust 18, 2026<1%+10426
Shelley HughesAugust 18, 20265%+2098
James ParkinAugust 18, 2026<1%+66567
Bernadette WilsonAugust 18, 202676%-308
Matt ClamanAugust 18, 20261%+8991
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsAugust 18, 202665%-186
Bruce WaldenAugust 18, 2026<1%+18082
Jessica FairclothAugust 18, 20262%+5456
Destry J. Payne Sr.August 18, 2026<1%+11665
Bill WalkerAugust 18, 202627%+270
Gregg BrelsfordAugust 18, 20261%+9900
Lesil McGuireAugust 18, 20262%+4662
Implied
11%
American
+809
Decimal
9.09
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 11% — roughly +809 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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