GeoOdds

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary? Odds

$198K total volume$154 24hResolves by August 18, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
31%implied chance
+0.5pp24h

Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

last 24h

Probability over time

Odds by deadline

OutcomeResolves byProbabilityAmerican
Dave BronsonAugust 18, 202635%+190
Nancy DahlstromAugust 18, 20262%+4900
Matt HeilalaAugust 18, 202614%+614
Hank KrollAugust 18, 20264%+2339
Treg TaylorAugust 18, 202631%+228
Tom BegichAugust 18, 202696%-2432
Click BishopAugust 18, 202638%+167
Adam CrumAugust 18, 20266%+1567
Edna DeVriesAugust 18, 20265%+2051
Shelley HughesAugust 18, 20264%+2226
James ParkinAugust 18, 20267%+1329
Bernadette WilsonAugust 18, 202667%-199
Matt ClamanAugust 18, 202635%+186
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsAugust 18, 202630%+233
Bruce WaldenAugust 18, 20263%+3025
Jessica FairclothAugust 18, 202644%+130
Destry J. Payne Sr.August 18, 202645%+122
Bill WalkerAugust 18, 202651%-104
Gregg BrelsfordAugust 18, 202626%+285
Lesil McGuireAugust 18, 202644%+127
Implied
30.5%
American
+228
Decimal
3.28
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 31% — roughly +228 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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