GeoOdds

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? Odds

$956K total volume$13K 24hResolves by December 31, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
11%implied chance
0.0pp24h

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

last 24h

Probability over time

Odds by deadline

OutcomeResolves byProbabilityAmerican
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezDecember 31, 20269%+1076
Stephen A. SmithDecember 31, 202611%+809
Jon OssoffDecember 31, 20263%+2841
Cory BookerDecember 31, 20265%+1735
Rahm EmanuelDecember 31, 202612%+770
John FettermanDecember 31, 20263%+2977
Hillary ClintonDecember 31, 20263%+3025
LeBron JamesDecember 31, 20262%+5782
MrBeastDecember 31, 20263%+3674
Beto O’RourkeDecember 31, 20262%+6150
Marco RubioDecember 31, 20265%+2122
Ron DeSantisDecember 31, 20266%+1718
Greg AbbottDecember 31, 20264%+2400
Josh HawleyDecember 31, 20261%+7043
Katie BrittDecember 31, 20261%+9424
Tucker CarlsonDecember 31, 202611%+852
Rand PaulDecember 31, 20268%+1233
Gavin NewsomDecember 31, 202611%+852
Wes MooreDecember 31, 20263%+3179
Andy BeshearDecember 31, 202611%+852
Raphael WarnockDecember 31, 20267%+1438
Mark KellyDecember 31, 202610%+953
Roy CooperDecember 31, 20261%+9900
Barack ObamaDecember 31, 20262%+4778
Phil MurphyDecember 31, 20261%+6797
Chelsea ClintonDecember 31, 20261%+7307
Andrew YangDecember 31, 20263%+3409
J.D. VanceDecember 31, 20265%+2122
Donald Trump Jr.December 31, 20265%+2122
Sarah Huckabee SandersDecember 31, 20262%+6352
Elise StefanikDecember 31, 20263%+2799
Matt GaetzDecember 31, 20269%+1076
Mike PenceDecember 31, 2026<1%+11011
Tom BradyDecember 31, 20264%+2717
Marjorie Taylor GreeneDecember 31, 20268%+1233
Pete ButtigiegDecember 31, 202611%+852
Kamala HarrisDecember 31, 202613%+700
Mark CubanDecember 31, 20268%+1233
Tim WalzDecember 31, 20266%+1718
Gina RaimondoDecember 31, 20264%+2253
Jared PolisDecember 31, 20265%+2074
Liz CheneyDecember 31, 20262%+4067
Hunter BidenDecember 31, 20264%+2603
Dwayne 'The Rock' JohnsonDecember 31, 20261%+9424
Kim KardashianDecember 31, 20263%+3348
Tulsi GabbardDecember 31, 20265%+1752
Nikki HaleyDecember 31, 20263%+3822
Brian KempDecember 31, 20269%+1076
Ted CruzDecember 31, 20265%+1752
John ThuneDecember 31, 20266%+1567
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.December 31, 20265%+1787
Steve BannonDecember 31, 20268%+1233
Josh ShapiroDecember 31, 20265%+2122
Gretchen WhitmerDecember 31, 20267%+1329
J.B. PritzkerDecember 31, 20269%+1076
Michelle ObamaDecember 31, 20262%+5163
Zohran MamdaniDecember 31, 20263%+3471
Jon StewartDecember 31, 20263%+2885
Bernie SandersDecember 31, 20261%+7592
George ClooneyDecember 31, 20267%+1438
Oprah WinfreyDecember 31, 20264%+2400
Donald TrumpDecember 31, 20269%+993
Glenn YoungkinDecember 31, 20265%+1900
Vivek RamaswamyDecember 31, 20267%+1438
Byron DonaldsDecember 31, 2026<1%+11011
Elon MuskDecember 31, 20265%+2122
Kristi NoemDecember 31, 20264%+2310
Ivanka TrumpDecember 31, 20263%+2977
Erika KirkDecember 31, 20265%+1735
Candace OwensDecember 31, 20269%+981
Don LemonDecember 31, 20267%+1299
Candace OwensDecember 31, 2026——
Implied
10.5%
American
+852
Decimal
9.52
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 11% — roughly +852 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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