GeoOdds

WY-AL Republican Primary Winner Odds

$185K total volume 24hResolves by August 18, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
>99%implied chance

Chuck Gray

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Chuck Gray>99%
  2. 2
    Steve Friess<1%
  3. 3
    David Giralt<1%
  4. 4
    Keith Goodenough<1%
  5. 5
    Reid Rasner<1%
  6. 6
    John Romero-Martinez<1%
  7. ·
    Others (11 outcomes)<1%
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of WY-AL Republican Primary Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at >99%. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming At-Large congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

New to prediction markets?

New traders get a $20 bonus

Deposit $10 on Polymarket and get a $20 trading bonus to put behind your first call.

Trade this on Polymarket →

New Polymarket users only. Bonus is trading credit, expires 30 days after it lands, and terms are set by Polymarket — check the current offer at signup. 18+. Fee-free markets. GeoOdds earns a commission on signups through this link.