GeoOdds

Daily briefing · August 21, 2026

What moved in world markets — August 21, 2026

  1. 01

    South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner

    71%-10.4pp24h

    South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner moved -10.4pp in the last 24 hours to 71% on $208.4K of volume.

    $208K traded in 24h · live odds →

  2. 02

    CA-14 Special Election Winner?

    >99%+5.9pp24h

    CA-14 Special Election Winner? moved +5.9pp in the last 24 hours to 100% on $49.1K of volume.

    $49K traded in 24h · live odds →

  3. 03

    Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

    28%+5.0pp24h

    Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? moved +5.0pp in the last 24 hours to 28% on $160.4K of volume.

    $160K traded in 24h · live odds →

  4. 04

    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

    30%-4.5pp24h

    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? moved -4.5pp in the last 24 hours to 30% on $113.9K of volume.

    $114K traded in 24h · live odds →

  5. 05

    US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

    86%-4.0pp24h

    US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? moved -4.0pp in the last 24 hours to 86% on $336.3K of volume.

    $336K traded in 24h · live odds →

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