GeoOdds

Daily briefing · September 15, 2026

What moved in world markets — September 15, 2026

  1. 01

    Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

    19%-11.0pp24h

    Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? moved -11.0pp in the last 24 hours to 19% on $1.2M of volume.

    $1.2M traded in 24h · live odds →

  2. 02

    Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

    27%+9.5pp24h

    Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? moved +9.5pp in the last 24 hours to 27% on $125.5K of volume.

    $125K traded in 24h · live odds →

  3. 03

    Berlin State Election Winner

    8%-5.7pp24h

    Berlin State Election Winner moved -5.7pp in the last 24 hours to 8% on $72.6K of volume.

    $73K traded in 24h · live odds →

  4. 04

    Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

    13%-5.5pp24h

    Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? moved -5.5pp in the last 24 hours to 13% on $81.6K of volume.

    $82K traded in 24h · live odds →

  5. 05

    Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

    26%+5.5pp24h

    Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? moved +5.5pp in the last 24 hours to 26% on $66.9K of volume.

    $67K traded in 24h · live odds →

New to prediction markets?

New traders get a $20 bonus

Deposit $10 on Polymarket and get a $20 trading bonus to put behind your first call.

Trade these markets on Polymarket →

New Polymarket users only. Bonus is trading credit, expires 30 days after it lands, and terms are set by Polymarket — check the current offer at signup. 18+. Fee-free markets. GeoOdds earns a commission on signups through this link.

← All briefings