GeoOdds

Daily briefing · October 12, 2026

What moved in world markets — October 12, 2026

  1. 01

    Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

    13%+4.0pp24h

    Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? moved +4.0pp in the last 24 hours to 13% on $80.2K of volume.

    $80K traded in 24h · live odds →

  2. 02

    Modi out by December 31, 2026?

    5%-3.3pp24h

    Modi out by December 31, 2026? moved -3.3pp in the last 24 hours to 5% on $31.0K of volume.

    $31K traded in 24h · live odds →

  3. 03

    Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

    31%-3.0pp24h

    Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? moved -3.0pp in the last 24 hours to 31% on $407.6K of volume.

    $408K traded in 24h · live odds →

  4. 04

    NATO x Russia military clash by...?

    24%+2.5pp24h

    NATO x Russia military clash by...? moved +2.5pp in the last 24 hours to 24% on $120.3K of volume.

    $120K traded in 24h · live odds →

  5. 05

    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

    17%+2.5pp24h

    Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? moved +2.5pp in the last 24 hours to 17% on $102.4K of volume.

    $102K traded in 24h · live odds →

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