Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Odds

Q: What are the odds of Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 50% — roughly +101 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

Q: What does this market resolve on?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

Q: Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

$53.0M total volume$964K 24hResolves by October 28, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh

50%implied chance

-1.8pp24h

Gadi Eizenkot

last 24h

Probability over time

30D90D

Current standings

1
Gadi Eizenkot50%
2
Benjamin Netanyahu28%
3
Naftali Bennett16%
4
Avigdor Lieberman2%
5
Israel Katz<1%
6
Moshe Feiglin<1%
·
Others (22 outcomes)2%

Implied: 49.9%
American: +101
Decimal: 2.01

Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 50% — roughly +101 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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