Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Odds
Gadi Eizenkot
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1Gadi Eizenkot54%
- 2Benjamin Netanyahu28%
- 3Naftali Bennett7%
- 4Avigdor Lieberman4%
- 5Ofer Winter1%
- 6Itamar Ben Gvir<1%
- ·Others (22 outcomes)2%
- Implied
- 53.6%
- American
- -115
- Decimal
- 1.87
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 54% — roughly -115 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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