GeoOdds

Netanyahu out by...? Odds

$123.7M total volume$19K 24hResolves by December 31, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
44%implied chance
0.0pp24h

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

last 24h

Probability over time

Odds by deadline

OutcomeResolves byProbabilityAmerican
July 31July 31, 2026<1%+66567
December 31December 31, 202644%+130
Implied
43.5%
American
+130
Decimal
2.30
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Netanyahu out by...?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 44% — roughly +130 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

Related markets

Trade this on Polymarket →

Fee-free geopolitics markets. 18+.