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Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá Odds

$165K total volume$52K 24hResolves by October 26, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
73%implied chance
+5.0pp24h

Flavio Bolsonaro

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Flavio Bolsonaro73%
  2. 2
    Candidate A50%
  3. 3
    Candidate B50%
  4. 4
    Candidate C50%
  5. 5
    Candidate D50%
  6. 6
    Candidate E50%
  7. ·
    Others (2 outcomes)77%
Implied
72.5%
American
-264
Decimal
1.38
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 73% — roughly -264 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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