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How many Israeli elections before government formed? Odds

$208K total volume$41K 24hResolves by October 27, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
51%implied chance
+7.5pp24h

1

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    151%
  2. 2
    247%
  3. 3
    32%
  4. 4
    4<1%
  5. 5
    5+<1%
Implied
51%
American
-104
Decimal
1.96
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of How many Israeli elections before government formed?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 51% — roughly -104 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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