GeoOdds

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Odds

$3.4M total volume$1K 24hResolves by December 31, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
3%implied chance
+0.5pp24h

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

last 24h

Probability over time

Odds by deadline

OutcomeResolves byProbabilityAmerican
June 30, 2026June 30, 20263%+3409
December 31, 2026December 31, 202612%+733
Implied
2.9%
American
+3409
Decimal
35.09
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 3% — roughly +3409 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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