Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms? Odds
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate62%
- 2No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate32%
- 3Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate4%
- 4Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate3%
- Implied
- 61.7%
- American
- -161
- Decimal
- 1.62
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 62% — roughly -161 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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