GeoOdds

Daily briefing · August 31, 2026

What moved in world markets — August 31, 2026

  1. 01

    Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

    2%-2.4pp24h

    Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? moved -2.4pp in the last 24 hours to 2% on $38.5K of volume.

    $38K traded in 24h · live odds →

  2. 02

    Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    16%+2.0pp24h

    Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? moved +2.0pp in the last 24 hours to 16% on $650.3K of volume.

    $650K traded in 24h · live odds →

  3. 03

    Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

    30%-2.0pp24h

    Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? moved -2.0pp in the last 24 hours to 30% on $48.9K of volume.

    $49K traded in 24h · live odds →

  4. 04

    Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

    86%+1.1pp24h

    Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? moved +1.1pp in the last 24 hours to 86% on $34.7K of volume.

    $35K traded in 24h · live odds →

  5. 05

    Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

    72%-1.0pp24h

    Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? moved -1.0pp in the last 24 hours to 72% on $277.9K of volume.

    $278K traded in 24h · live odds →

New to prediction markets?

New traders get a $20 bonus

Deposit $10 on Polymarket and get a $20 trading bonus to put behind your first call.

Trade these markets on Polymarket →

New Polymarket users only. Bonus is trading credit, expires 30 days after it lands, and terms are set by Polymarket — check the current offer at signup. 18+. Fee-free markets. GeoOdds earns a commission on signups through this link.

← All briefings