Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Odds
United Russia (ER)
last 24h
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1United Russia (ER)75%
- 2New People (NL)21%
- 3Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
- 4Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%
- 5Yabloko<1%
- 6A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)<1%
- ·Others (28 outcomes)<1%
- Implied
- 74.5%
- American
- -292
- Decimal
- 1.34
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 75% — roughly -292 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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