How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election? Odds
<35
Probability over time
Current standings
- 1<35>99%
- 235–44<1%
- 345–54<1%
- 455–64<1%
- 565–74<1%
- 675–84<1%
- ·Others (1 outcomes)<1%
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
Polymarket traders currently price this at >99%. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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