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California Governor Primary Election: First Place Odds

$957K total volume 24hResolves by June 2, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
>99%implied chance

Xavier Becerra

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Xavier Becerra>99%
  2. 2
    Thunder Parley<1%
  3. 3
    Raji Rab<1%
  4. 4
    Tony Thurmond<1%
  5. 5
    Betty Yee<1%
  6. 6
    Chad Bianco<1%
  7. ·
    Others (39 outcomes)<1%
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of California Governor Primary Election: First Place?

Polymarket traders currently price this at >99%. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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