Xi Jinping out by June 30? Odds

Q: What are the odds of Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Polymarket traders currently price this at <1%. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

Q: What does this market resolve on?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Q: Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

$3.7M total volume— 24hResolves by June 30, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh

<1%implied chance

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Probability over time

30D90D

Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Polymarket traders currently price this at <1%. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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