GeoOdds

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place Odds

$157K total volume$28K 24hResolves by October 28, 2026Polymarket, 10-min refresh
87%implied chance
+2.0pp24h

Together

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Together87%
  2. 2
    Party A50%
  3. 3
    Party B50%
  4. 4
    Party C50%
  5. 5
    Party D50%
  6. 6
    Party E50%
  7. ·
    Others (33 outcomes)>99%
Implied
86.5%
American
-641
Decimal
1.16
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 87% — roughly -641 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

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