María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Odds
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
last 24h
Probability over time
Odds by deadline
| Outcome | Resolves by | Probability | American |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 24 | January 31, 2026 | — | — |
| July 31 | July 31, 2026 | 3% | +3179 |
| August 31 | August 31, 2026 | — | — |
- Implied
- 3.1%
- American
- +3179
- Decimal
- 32.79
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
Polymarket traders currently price this at 3% — roughly +3179 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.
What does this market resolve on?
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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