María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Odds
ARCH Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?
Probability over time
No price history yet
Odds by deadline
| Outcome | Resolves by | Probability | American |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 24 | January 25, 2026 | — | — |
| August 31 | September 1, 2026 | — | — |
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
See the live chart above for current odds.
What does this market resolve on?
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela.
Where do these odds come from?
These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.
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