GeoOdds

French Presidential Election First Round Winner Odds

$112K total volume$10K 24hResolves by April 18, 2027Polymarket, 10-min refresh
85%implied chance
-0.5pp24h

Marine Le Pen

last 24h

Probability over time

Current standings

  1. 1
    Marine Le Pen85%
  2. 2
    Candidate A50%
  3. 3
    Candidate B50%
  4. 4
    Candidate C50%
  5. 5
    Candidate D50%
  6. 6
    Candidate E50%
  7. ·
    Others (37 outcomes)>99%
Implied
84.5%
American
-545
Decimal
1.18
Resolution criteriasource: Polymarket

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of French Presidential Election First Round Winner?

Polymarket traders currently price this at 85% — roughly -545 in American odds. Prices update continuously as real money trades; this page refreshes every 10 minutes.

What does this market resolve on?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won.

Where do these odds come from?

These odds are live order-book prices from Polymarket, a regulated real-money prediction market. Prices reflect what traders are actually paying for outcome shares right now — not polls or pundit forecasts. We read them from Polymarket's public API and refresh every 10 minutes.

Related markets

New to prediction markets?

New traders get a $20 bonus

Deposit $10 on Polymarket and get a $20 trading bonus to put behind your first call.

Trade this on Polymarket →

New Polymarket users only. Bonus is trading credit, expires 30 days after it lands, and terms are set by Polymarket — check the current offer at signup. 18+. Fee-free markets. GeoOdds earns a commission on signups through this link.